Time Is Running Out For Andrew Rice

Analysis Shows Small Undecided Percentage

Lagging behind incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe, Democratic Senate candidate Andrew Rice appears to be running out of time to draw close to Inhofe and it appears there's no room among undecided voters for Rice to gain ground.

Those conclusions can be reached by examining the latest statewide TvPoll results reported on KWTV-Channel 9 in Oklahoma City.

The poll's Week Six findings show Inhofe at 53.1 percent and Rice at 39.5 percent. The Independent candidate draws only two percent support and the undecideds are now down to just 5.4 percent. Thus, even if Rice got all of those voters, he'd still be far short of Inhofe's percentage.

For Oklahoma Republicans nervous about the nationwide presidential race prospects, John McCain remains a huge winner in Oklahoma, leading Barack Obama by a 2-to-1 margin, 63 to 32 percent. Some believe McCain's Oklahoma margin will be the largest in the nation, speculation placing the actual vote at about the 2-to-1 margin. That would rank as one of the worst Democrat showings in history.

In the race for the short term on the Corporation Commission, Republican Dana Murphy maintains a tenuous lead over incumbent Democrat Jim Roth, 40 to 35 percent with a huge 25 percent undecided.

The TvPoll results show McCain clobbering Obama among registered Democrats. With that kind of drag at the top of the ticket, Rice and Roth, as well as Democrat Charles Gray in the long-term Corporation Commission race against incumbent Jeff Cloud, appear to be swimming upstream.

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TvPoll: McCain-Palin, Inhofe, Murphy, Cloud

The latest TvPoll for KWTV-Channel 9 in Oklahoma City shows the McCain-Palin ticket maintaining a huge lead over the Obama-Biden ticket, 65.5 to 29.1 percent.

In the U. S. Senate race, incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe leads Democrat Andrew Rice 52.5 to 39.3 percent. Inhofe is down five percent in five weeks, Rice is up 10 percent.

In the Corporation Commission race pitting Republican Dana Murphy against incumbent Democrat Jim Roth, Murphy leads 37.6 to 33.3 percent.

In the second commission race pitting Republican incumbent Jeff Cloud against Democrat Charles Gray, Cloud leads 36.9 to 31.5 percent.

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New Poll: McCain Up 40, Inhofe Up 22

A new TvPoll for KWTV-Channel 9 finds the John McCain-Sarah Palin Republican team with a 40 percent lead over Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

The poll also found incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe maintaining a huge lead, almost 22 percent, over liberal Democrat Andrew Rice.

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TvPoll: McCain-Palin By 41, Inhofe By 25

A new TvPoll for KWTV-Channel 9 indicates a Republican sweep of the state this year.

The new poll reinforces earlier polls showing the McCain-Palin Republican ticket trouncing the Obama-Biden Democrat ticket and incumbent Senator Jim Inhofe running far ahead of Democrat Andrew Rice.

In the new poll, McCain-Palin are at 68.8 percent, Obama-Biden at just 27.4 percent.

In the Senate race, Inhofe is at 55.7 percent, Rice at just 30.6 percent.

In one of two Corporation Commission races, Republican Dana Murphy has 45 percent to 32 percent for Democrat incumbent Jim Roth.

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TvPoll: McCain-Palin 65.9%, Obama-Biden 27.9%; Jim Inhofe 57.2-29.2% Over Andrew Rice

A new TvPoll for KWTV-Channel 9 shows Republicans with substantial leads in major Oklahoma races.

In the presidential race, John McCain and Sarah Palin are reported at 65.9 percent, while Barack Obama and Joe Biden trail badly at just 27.9 percent with 6.2 percent undecided.

In the U. S. Senate race, incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe is reported at 57.2 percent, while Democrat Andrew Rice has only 29.2 percent. Independent Stephen Wallace has 3.6 percent and 10 percent are undecided.

In the Corporation Commission race, Republican Dana Murphy has 44.7 percent compared to 36.1 percent for incumbent Democrat Jim Roth. About 19 percent are undecided.

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State Media Polling Firms Tops In Nation

An analysis of political polling firms whose primary clients are the public or the news media shows that two of them who poll for Oklahoma media outlets are among the highest ranked in the nation.

The analysis, actually a listing of all polling firms based on a sliding scale of the accuracy of their polling data percentages (not whether they predicted winners), is compiled by SurveyUSA, a national firm that polls for KFOR-TV, Channel 4, in Oklahoma City.

In the listing, SurveyUSA itself is listed 5th. The firm has been remarkably accurate in previous surveys for KFOR. It was the first polling firm to report the likelihood that Democrat Brad Henry would upset Republican Steve Largent in the 2002 governor's race.

The only Oklahoma firm listed is SoonerPoll, which conducts polls for the Tulsa World and KOTV, Channel 6. It is listed 33rd, right behind the Gallup Poll, with which it is numerically tied in the ranking. Pollster Bill Shapard also partners with Keith Gaddie in the firm TvPoll, with KWTV, Channel 9, as a client.

Gallup is listed 32nd in the analysis, which includes about 50 firms. Fox News is listed 8th, Zogby 10th, Rasmussen 20th, Mason-Dixon 24th.

The listings do not include survey research firms that routinely poll for clients and whose poll results are not disclosed. That would include the firms of Cole Hargrave Snodgrass And Associates (which does publish some results in its Sooner Survey) and Wilson Research Strategies, Washington-based firm with an Oklahoma City office and with political and corporate clients here and across the country.

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