Friday, September 24, 2010

Rasmussen: Fallin Has 26 Percent Lead Over Askins

From Rasmussen Reports ~ Republican Congresswoman Mary Fallin has jumped to a 26-point lead over Democrat Jari Askins in Okahoma’s gubernatorial race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Fallin picking up 60% support, while Askins, the state’s current lieutenant governor, earns 34% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

This race remains Solid GOP in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

Last month, Fallin led Askins 52% to 37%. Prior to the latest survey, Fallin’s support remained in the 51% to 57% range in surveys conducted since February. Askins received between 32% and 37% support during the same period.

The winner of this race will be the state's first woman governor. Fallin earns the vote from 89% of Oklahoma Republicans, while Askins is backed by just 64% of Democrats. Fallin holds a 25-point lead over Askins among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Oklahoma was conducted on September 23, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Rasmussen Reports will release new numbers from the Oklahoma Senate race next week.

A third of voters in Oklahoma (34%) consider themselves to be part of the Tea Party movement, while 50% do not. But a solid majority (58%) thinks the movement is good for the country, while 21% see it as bad for the nation.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Tea Party voters support Fallin, along with 42% of those who say they are not involved in the movement. Forty-nine percent (49%) of non-Tea Party voters back Askins.

Seventy percent (70%) of Oklahoma voters favor the passage of an Arizona-like immigration law in their state, while just 21% are opposed. Fallin is supported by 74% of voters who favor such a law in Oklahoma, while Askins draws support from 68% who oppose it.

Seventy percent (70%) of Oklahoma voters share a favorable opinion of Fallin, including 25% who view her Very Favorably. Only 26% regard Fallin unfavorably, with 12% who hold a Very Unfavorable impression of her.

Askins’ reviews are 51% favorable, 41% unfavorable, including 22% Very Favorable and 19% Very Unfavorable.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters in the state approve of the job Brad Henry is doing as governor, while 41% disapprove. These ratings have improved slightly from the previous survey. The Democratic governor is term-limited and cannot seek reelection.

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