Sunday, August 29, 2010

Rasmussen: Coburn Well On Way To 2nd Term

Oklahoma Republican Tom Coburn appears well on his way to a second U.S. Senate term.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Oklahoma shows Coburn with 67% support to Democrat Jim Rogers' 24%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Last month, Coburn led Rogers 65% to 31% in the first poll after both candidates won their party primaries.

In March, Coburn outdistanced the state’s popular Democratic governor, Brad Henry, in a hypothetical matchup 52% to 40%.

Coburn has the support of 93% of Republicans and 34% of Democrats. Rogers earns just 55% support in his own party. Voters not affiliated with either major party prefer the Republican candidate by a whopping 73% to six percent (6%) margin.

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Oklahoma was conducted on August 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Republican Congresswoman Mary Fallin now holds a 15-point lead over Democratic Lieutenant Governor Jari Askins in the race to be Oklahoma’s next governor.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Oklahoma voters think Coburn is a conservative. They're less sure about Rogers: 30% say he is a moderate; 25% say he's a liberal, and 18% think he's conservative. But 28% don't know where he stands ideologically, compared to just six percent (6%) who say the same of Coburn.

Fifty-six percent (56%) say Coburn’s views are mainstream, while 34% regard them as extreme. Thirty-two percent (32%) think Rogers’ views are mainstream, and 28% say they're extreme. But 40% are unsure of the Democrat’s views.

Forty-four percent (44%) have a Very Favorable view of the incumbent senator, while 13% have a Very Unfavorable view. Only four percent (4%) have no opinion of Coburn.

Just seven percent (7%) hold a Very Favorable opinion of Rogers, and six percent (6%) view him Very Unfavorably. Thirty-two percent (32%) don’t know enough about the Democratic challenger to venture an opinion.

At this point in the campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers at this point in a campaign.

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters in the state rate their personal finances as good or excellent, and just 18% say their finances are poor. That's a more positive assessment overall than is found among voters nationally. Seventeen percent (17%) say their personal finances are getting better, but 53% say they are getting worse.

John McCain carried Oklahoma over Barack Obama by a 66% to 34% margin in the November 2008 elections. Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters in the state now approve of the job Obama is doing as president, and 65% disapprove. This is below the job approval ratings the president earns nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

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