Poll: Obama Has Solid Iowa Lead

Barack Obama has taken a double-digit lead over John McCain 48% to 38% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Iowa, carried by Al Gore in 2000 and George Bush in 2004. When “leaners” are included, the Democrat is ahead 51% to 41%.

In June, Obama enjoyed a seven-point lead in the battleground state. That lead represented a push for Obama from May, when he was ahead by just 2 percentage points. McCain has held steady now at 38% for two months in a row.

The race is closer among voters not affiliated with either political party. Among those voters, Obama has a 38% to 34% lead. In June, Obama had a much larger lead 44% to 29% lead among those voters.

Rasmussen Markets shows that Democrats are currently given a 80.0% chance of winning Iowa’s seven Electoral College Votes in November.

George W. Bush carried Iowa by only 10,000 votes in 2004, having lost the state four years earlier to Al Gore by half that many.

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