Sunday, March 2, 2008

Ohio, Texas Now Democrat Toss-ups, Polls Show

From NBC's Mark Murray ~ Two new polls show that Tuesday's pivotal Hillary Clinton-Barack Obama contests in Ohio and Texas are essentially deadlocked, with Obama leading in the Lone Star State by a fingernail and Clinton leading in the Buckeye State by two fingernails.

According to an MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon survey in Texas, Obama is ahead of Clinton, 46%-45%, although that lead is within the poll's 4% margin of error. The subgroups break out in predictable ways: Obama leads among men (54%-37%), those under 50 (56%-36%), African Americans (86%-6%), and independents and Republicans (55%-34%); Clinton leads among women (51%-40%), those over 50 (54%-38%), whites (53%-38%), Hispanics (62%-30%), and Democrats (50%-42%).

Obama wins decisively among those most wanting change (76%-18%), while Clinton wins even more decisively among those who most want experience (93%-3%). Yet they split evenly among those who care most about the issues.
In Ohio, per a new Cleveland Plain Dealer/Mason-Dixon poll, it's Clinton 47%, Obama 43% -- and that, too, is within the survey's 4% margin of error. Also, the subgroups in Ohio mirror those in Texas, with Obama winning among men, African Americans, those under 50, and those wanting change; while Clinton leads among women, whites, those over 50, and those wanting experience.

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