McCarville's (Almost) Fearless Predictions; Mostly Right, But Pass The Crow So He Can Start Eating

Your editor's Fearless Election Day Predictions were mostly on target, but he blew some calls as well. Pass the crow so he can start eating. (He missed 3 of 14 calls.) Here are his calls on Tuesday morning, and how the races turned out Tuesday night, percentages in red.

Governor
Brad Henry 59% (best commercials of 2006, bar none) 66% (as in LANDSLIDE)
Ernest Istook 41% (never in the race, really) 33%

Lt. Governor
Jari Askins 51+% (her own money, Henry coattails help make her the winner) 51% Todd Hiett 47% (primaries consumed resources, no help from Istook) 47% E. Z. Million 2% (if it's more than this, credit negative ads by Askins and Hiett) 2%

Congress 5th District
Mary Fallin 63% (elected the day she filed) 61%
Dr. David Hunter 37% (back to the practice, Doc) 37%

Treasurer
Scott Meacham 55% (Brad's guy eases in) 59%
Howard Barnett 45% (no real traction) 41%

Attorney General
Drew Edmondson 57+% (dinged around the edges, but solid) 61%
James Dunn 43% (never got off the ground) 39%

Superintendent of Public Instruction
Sandy Garrett 60% (in a walk) 63%
Bill Crozier 40% (never in the race) 37%

Labor Commissioner (Pass the crow)
Brenda Reneau 52+% (wins again) 49.85%
Lloyd Fields 48% (loses again) 50.15%

Insurance Commissioner
Kim Holland 52% (staves off attack from rich Texas and Oklahoma Republicans!) 52%
Bill Case 48% (no ground game, those awful Larry Gatlin commercials!) 48%

Auditor & Inspector (Pass the crow)
Jeff McMahan 49.5% (his own worst enemy) 52%
Gary Jones 50.5% (Jones must carry Tulsa County by 29,000+ votes to pull this off) 48%

Oklahoma County District Attorney (Pass the crow)
Wes Lane 54+% (dinged, bruised and battered) 50%
David Prater 46% 50% (824 vote margin)

State Senate
Goes from 26-22 Democrat to 24-24 tie (and Democrats rule with Askins win) 24-24 tie, Democrats rule with Askins win

State House
Republicans retain control (Lance Cargill is Speaker) Republicans retain control

U. S. Senate stays in GOP hands despite a loss. In the House, Democrats pick up seats, take control. Senate still in doubt; House flips to Democrat control.

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