Keith Gaddie's Election Prognostications

Pollster, pundit and commentator Dr. Keith Gaddie, AKA "DocStones," issued his election prognostications in the Oklahoma Gazette this week. Gaddie is a professor of political science at the University of Oklahoma, is a partner in TvPoll.com in Oklahoma City and is co-host of the "Tailgate Political Hour" that airs 4-5 p.m. Monday-Thursday on KTLR-AM 890.

On Tuesday morning, Mike McCarville will post his Fearless Predictions on The McCarville Report Online and he doesn't necessarily agree with Gaddie.

Here's Gaddie's column:

DocStones' Losers
Author's Note: This information is provided for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute an endorsement of any candidate by either the author or the Gazette . . . and please, too, no wagering!

Growing up in the South, one of the Fall treats was listening to football prognosticator extraordinary, the late Leonard Postosties©, broadcasting his predictions for the day's games. In homage to the long passed and defunct Leonard, we loaded up the Little Smart Pill Machine and asked Leonard's political alter ego, DocStones of the Internets, for his prognostications for Game Day, Tuesday, November 7:

GOVERNOR: Ernest Istook versus Brad Henry. The Stormin' Mormon looked to be a contender coming out of last season. But a lack of off-season training, a weak offensive line, late injuries and a rookie crop of assistant coaches left Istook eating Henry's dust. A steady offense and a flexible defense have Henry easily hanging half a hundred just on his strong approval rating. SoonerPoll, TvPoll, SurveyUSA, Rasmussen, and party internals all point the same way: DocStones' Loser, by two touchdowns and a safety, Ernest Istook.

LITE-GOVERNOR: Todd Hiett versus Jari Askins. A defense that gets away with clipping and in-your-face-masks in the primary plus a deep offense has Askins dominating this campaign over the Stained-Glass Kellyville Dairy Farmer. Hiett's piano-playing and new boots carried him to the nomination, but it looks like he left it all on the field last time out against Pruitt. It'll take more than a Hail Mary to pull Hiett out of what is shaping up to be a double-digit drubbing: DocStones' Loser, Todd Hiett.

INSURANCE COMMISSIONER: Just the Facts America versus Kim Holland. Republican Bill Case has starting running a distant third in this two person contest, behind Kim Holland and a variety of out-of-state interests who are targeting her candidacy. While Case and Holland poll close to each other, the only thing voters really know is that Kim Holland is on the field and someone from Texas doesn't want her there. DocStones' Loser, in overtime, Bill Case.

STATE AUDITOR: Gary Jones versus the Trailer Thieves. If it wasn't for a stolen playbook you wouldn't know this game was out there. But, recruiting irregularities and an investigation have kept Jeff MacMahan and the Money Machine from moving out of striking distance from Jones. At the end of the day we'll see whether there are coattails in the Sooner State, or merely "tailgates." DocStones' Loser, in a close one, Gary Jones.

LABOR COMMISSIONER: Lloyd Fields versus Brenda Reneau. Reneau labors through her fourth consecutive bid against an opponent who played her down to the last second four years ago. Despite expectations of a collapse, polling continues to place Reneau up. Coming into the fourth quarter, there is no Fields on the offense. Unless Reneau gets called for too many men on the field and loses half the distance to the goal, we're saying DocStones' Loser, on a drop-kick and blown pass coverage, Lloyd Fields.

DocStones' Other List of Likely Losers:
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 5: David Hunter will lose to Mary Fallin
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 4: Harold Spake will lose to Tom Cole
IN COLLEGE STATION: Texas A&M will lose to Oklahoma
TREASURER: Howard Barnett will lose to Scott Meacham
IN AUSTIN: Oklahoma State will lose to Texas
STATE SENATE: Republicans will lose State Senate districts 2, 12, 16, 18, and 26
CORPORATION COMMISSIONER: Cody Graves will lose to Bob Anthony

Get me out of here Percy . . .

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